Although reports give the impression of a large scale move in
manufacturing capacity from the G7 countries to Eastern Europe and the Far
East, where wages are lower, the reality is that the move has been much more
gradual and less spectacular. As of end 2006, Western Europe, North America and
Japan still accounted for 75% of world manufacturing output, with China
accounting for 9%, up from 4% in 1996. The other trend has been for companies
in developing nations to buy companies in the developed world.
In the sections below, we list some of the key statistics and
developments for the two years prior to December 2007. To see how this fits
into our global outlook, we refer you to our
World overview. For more
recent information, we suggest you refer to the
MBendi Blog: Signposts to 2020.
A study by the European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and
Working Conditions concluded Western Europe was losing manufacturing jobs to
Eastern Europe.
In 2005, China had 118 million tons of excess steel capacity, more than
Japan's total capacity. Chinese steel output increased 18.5% in 2006 to 418.8
million tons. In 2005 China consumed 31% of world's steel, 41% of iron ore, 35%
of coal and 23% of refined copper. India accounts for 20% of Chinese iron ore
imports. China's factory output in January and February 2007 was 18.5% higher
than the first two months of 2006 which were in turn 16.2% higher than 2005. In
December 2006, China announced measures to curb exports of steel products.
China's steel exports rose 44% in 2005 and a further 92% on the first ten
months of 2006 to 32.8 million tonnes. Steel production increased 25% in 2005
and 20% in 2006.
In November 2006, China's TCL announced plans to close the loss making
operations in Europe it bought from Thomson in 2003, while Taiwan's BenQ also
announced plans to close loss-making European operations bought from Siemens in
2005.
Footnote: If you are aware of any highlights we have missed, please
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